Eagles Getting a Touchdown in a Rematch They Already Won? Yes, Please.

Six and a half points for a division rematch the Eagles already won by two back in September? The market's handing out candy early. Washington limps in at 1-4-1 over its last six, bleeding 28.67 points per game while its defensive interior has been reduced to a MASH unit. Daron Payne's done for the year, Jer'Zhan Newton's on IR, and Javon Kinlaw won't suit up—meaning Saquon Barkley gets to run through a revolving door all afternoon.

Sure, Tanner McKee's making his first road start, but divisional games compress by nearly two points regardless of personnel. The total sits at 40.5, projecting something like 23-17, which means Washington needs to win by a full touchdown against a defense that's allowed just 22.0 points per game on the road. The Eagles know this building, they know this secondary, and they've already proven they can win here with a backup signal-caller managing the game.

The market's giving Philly a 50.4% implied shot as the dog, but with Washington's run defense in shambles and the Eagles' ground game humming, that feels light. Take the points and watch Barkley eat.

DarkHorse lean: Eagles +6.5, confidence 3/5.