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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Magomedov
Main Card
Israel Adesanya
24-6
Shara Magomedov
17-1
DarkHorse Pick
Israel Adesanya to win · Decision
Adesanya's 24-6 record was built at middleweight, and the five-round format (even though this is not a title fight) suits an experienced fighter who has had to manage pace and cardio over longer distances. Magomedov's 17-1 record is strong, but the data given doesn't show the level of competition behind it, so I weigh Adesanya's experience against top opposition more heavily. With no market odds, the record and format point to a close, competitive fight that goes the distance, with Adesanya's experience edging it. Confidence is modest because the records give limited information about styles and recent form.
Ian Machado Garry
17-2
Yaroslav Amosov
30-1
DarkHorse Pick
Yaroslav Amosov to win · Decision
Amosov's 30-1-0 record is a stronger win-loss profile than Garry's 17-2-0, and only one loss in 31 fights suggests consistent success. I can't verify the level of his competition from the data provided, so I'm discounting that record somewhat, and Garry's two losses came in a smaller sample. The 5-round scheduled format without a title attached suggests a main event, which favors the fighter with the more proven durability and cardio over longer distances, and I lean toward this going the distance rather than ending early. With no market odds and limited information beyond records, I'm keeping confidence modest.
Serghei Spivac
18-7
Mario Pinto
13-0
DarkHorse Pick
Mario Pinto to win · KO/TKO · Round 2
Pinto's unbeaten 13-0 record is a real signal, but I can't verify the level of competition behind it. Spivac's 18-7 record suggests deep experience at heavyweight, though seven losses show he is beatable. With no market odds to anchor on, I lean toward Pinto's perfect record and the high finish rate typical of heavyweight bouts, and I keep confidence modest because of that uncertainty. I'm predicting a finish in the middle rounds rather than a decision, since a heavyweight fight is likely to end early once one fighter lands cleanly.
Levan Chokheli
15-3
Islam Dulatov
12-1
DarkHorse Pick
Islam Dulatov to win · Decision
Dulatov's 12-1-0 record is tighter than Chokheli's 15-3-0, with a higher win rate and only one loss. Chokheli's three losses suggest he is more beatable, but 18 total bouts also give him more experience, and no odds or style details are available to separate them further. In a standard three-round welterweight bout between two evenly matched fighters, I lean toward Dulatov narrowly winning on the scorecards. Confidence is modest because the record gap is small and there is no market price to confirm it.
Mairon Santos
18-1
Akbar Abdullaev
14-0
DarkHorse Pick
Akbar Abdullaev to win · Decision
Both fighters have strong records: Santos at 18-1-0 has more experience, while Abdullaev is unbeaten at 14-0-0. With no market odds and no verified style information, the case rests on records alone, and the edge is very thin. I lean slightly toward the unbeaten Abdullaev in a competitive three-round fight that goes the distance, but confidence is low because of the limited information and Santos's greater experience.
Magomed Tuchalov
7-0
Ion Cutelaba
20-12-1
DarkHorse Pick
Ion Cutelaba to win · KO/TKO · Round 2
Cutelaba's 20-12-1 record shows far more experience at the Light Heavyweight level than Tuchalov's 7-0-0, and a tighter unbeaten record built on a small sample says less than a longer résumé forged against tougher competition. The records suggest Cutelaba's 33 pro fights give him an edge in experience and pressure, while Tuchalov's perfect record is unproven at this level. No odds are available, so I lean on experience, but the 12 losses and the small sample on the other side keep my confidence moderate. A finish is more likely than a decision in a 3-round Light Heavyweight bout, and I project it midway through.
Bruno Silva
15-9-2
Jafel Filho
17-5
DarkHorse Pick
Jafel Filho to win · Decision
Filho has the cleaner record (17-5-0 vs. 15-9-2), with a better win rate and fewer losses. Silva's 9 losses and 2 draws suggest he is competitive but inconsistent at this level. With no market odds and no style information beyond the records, I lean Filho on record quality alone. The three-round flyweight format and the lack of any evidence of a dominant finisher on either side point to a Decision, so I leave predicted_round null and keep confidence modest.
Uran Satybaldiev
9-1
Ivan Gnizditskiy
7-0
DarkHorse Pick
Uran Satybaldiev to win · KO/TKO · Round 2
Satybaldiev's 9-1-0 record is slightly deeper than Gnizditskiy's unbeaten 7-0-0, and a larger sample of fights suggests more experience in a light heavyweight division where one-punch power often decides bouts. Gnizditskiy's perfect record is a positive, but with only 7 fights, it's hard to know how it was built, so I can't treat it as a clear edge over Satybaldiev's tested resume. No odds were supplied, and with only records to go on this is a narrow lean toward Red, with a finish more likely than a decision given the weight class, so confidence stays modest.
Marco Tulio
14-3
JunYong Park
19-7
DarkHorse Pick
JunYong Park to win · Decision
Park's 19-7-0 record shows more fights and more experience than Tulio's 14-3-0, but Tulio's higher win rate (about 82% vs. about 73%) keeps this close. No odds were supplied, and the records say nothing about finishing tendencies, so I lean toward a 3-round decision rather than committing to a finish round. The edge for Park rests only on experience, so confidence is low.
Pavel Andrusca
9-0
Mehemmedeli Osmanli
12-2
DarkHorse Pick
Mehemmedeli Osmanli to win · Decision
Osmanli's 12-2-0 record reflects more fights and more experience, which gives him a slight edge over Andrusca's unbeaten but shorter 9-0-0 ledger. With no market odds and no information on finishing rates or styles, I can't reliably pick a finish. A three-round bantamweight bout between two durable-looking fighters most likely goes to the scorecards. Confidence is low because the records are close and Andrusca's perfect mark could mean he is the better fighter.
Modestino Rodrigues
8-1
Matthieu Letho Duclos
11-3
DarkHorse Pick
Matthieu Letho Duclos to win · Decision
Blue (Duclos, 11-3) has the deeper résumé with 14 pro fights against Red's 9, which suggests more experience over a three-round distance. Red's 8-1 record is strong, but without odds, style details, or the quality of his opposition, I can't confirm it outweighs Blue's experience edge. With no data on finishing rates, a Decision is the safest method, so I'm not committing to a round. The edge is slim, so confidence stays modest.
Abdul Hussein
16-2
Hecher Sosa
15-1
DarkHorse Pick
Hecher Sosa to win · Decision
Both fighters have strong records at bantamweight. Sosa's 15-1 and Hussein's 16-2 differ only slightly, so this is close to a coin flip. Sosa has the slightly better loss rate (one loss against two), which gives him a marginal edge. With no odds, no finish rates and no style information, I expect a competitive three-round fight that goes to the scorecards, and I keep confidence low.