UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Anthony Hernandez to win · Submission · Round 4

Anthony Hernandez holds a superior win rate (83.3% vs 76.0%) and has demonstrated elite grappling credentials at the middleweight level. Gregory Rodrigues brings more experience with 25 total fights but has absorbed six losses, suggesting vulnerability against high-level grapplers. In a 5-round non-title fight, Hernandez's cardio and submission threat should accumulate over championship distance, likely forcing a late finish as Rodrigues tires.

Serghei Spivac to win · Decision

Serghei Spivac brings significantly more experience at the heavyweight level with 24 professional fights compared to Petrino's 16. Spivac is a proven UFC heavyweight with a well-rounded grappling base and submission threat, while Petrino is moving up from light heavyweight with less proven durability against elite heavyweight power. Without market odds to calibrate against, the record disparity and Spivac's established heavyweight credentials suggest he controls the fight through wrestling and positional dominance over three rounds. Petrino's athleticism keeps this competitive enough to warrant moderate rather than high confidence.

Roman Dolidze to win · Submission · Round 2

Reinier de Ridder holds a superior record at 21-4 compared to Dolidze's 15-5, with de Ridder being a highly credentialed grappler known for his submission game. While Dolidze is a dangerous striker with power, de Ridder's elite ground skills and ability to find finishes give him the edge in a three-round light heavyweight bout. Without market odds to anchor against, the record differential and de Ridder's grappling pedigree suggest he can secure a submission finish, though Dolidze's striking threat keeps confidence moderate.

Jeisla Chaves to win · Decision

Jeisla Chaves enters undefeated at 8-0-0 versus Carli Judice's 6-2-0 record, representing a meaningful experience and momentum edge at women's strawweight. Without market odds to anchor expectations, the unblemished record suggests Chaves has been the more dominant fighter against her level of competition. Both records indicate fighters capable of going the distance, making a decision the most probable outcome over three rounds. The undefeated status warrants moderate-high confidence, though Judice's six wins show she is a legitimate threat.

Shamil Gaziev to win · KO/TKO · Round 2

Gaziev holds a superior record at 14-3 compared to Nzechukwu's 14-6-1, suggesting more consistent performance against comparable competition. In the heavyweight division, finishing power is paramount, and Gaziev's cleaner record implies better offensive execution and defensive discipline. Without market odds to anchor expectations, the record differential becomes the primary signal. I project Gaziev's power and precision to break through in the second round, though Nzechukwu's experience keeps this from being a high-confidence pick.

Wes Schultz to win · Decision

Wes Schultz holds a more experienced record at 9-3-0 versus Jackson McVey's 7-2-0, suggesting he has faced stiffer competition and navigated more adversity at this level. Without market odds to provide additional signal, the record differential favors the red corner but not overwhelmingly. Both fighters have demonstrated ability to win decisions given their records, making a full three-round contest the most likely outcome. Confidence remains modest given the lack of style information and the competitive nature suggested by both records.

Shanelle Dyer to win · Decision

Shanelle Dyer holds a superior 7-1 record compared to Elise Reed's 8-5, indicating Dyer has been more consistent against her competition despite fewer total fights. Reed's five losses suggest vulnerability at this level, while Dyer has only one defeat on her ledger. Without market odds to calibrate against and no specific style information provided, the record differential favors Dyer but not overwhelmingly. I project Dyer to control enough rounds over three frames to secure a decision victory.

Gauge Young to win · Decision

Gauge Young holds a more extensive professional record at 11-3-0 versus Kody Steele's 8-1-0, indicating greater experience at this level despite Steele's impressive win rate. Without market odds to calibrate against, the record differential suggests Young has been tested more thoroughly against proven competition. In a three-round lightweight bout with no clear stylistic information favoring either side, the more experienced fighter with a solid record has the edge. This projects as a competitive decision rather than a finish given both fighters' ability to reach this stage of their careers.