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Next Fight
vs. Shara Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Magomedov · Dec 5, 2026
DarkHorse Pick
Israel Adesanya to win · Decision
Adesanya's 24-6 record was built at middleweight, and the five-round format (even though this is not a title fight) suits an experienced fighter who has had to manage pace and cardio over longer distances. Magomedov's 17-1 record is strong, but the data given doesn't show the level of competition behind it, so I weigh Adesanya's experience against top opposition more heavily. With no market odds, the record and format point to a close, competitive fight that goes the distance, with Adesanya's experience edging it. Confidence is modest because the records give limited information about styles and recent form.
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