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Lightweight
vs. Mauricio Ruffy
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Sep 19, 2026
DarkHorse Pick
Arman Tsarukyan to win · Decision
72% conf.
Arman Tsarukyan's 23-3 record at lightweight represents significantly more elite-level experience than Ruffy's 14-2 mark. Without market odds to calibrate against, the record gap and Tsarukyan's proven championship-level competition (he's fought for titles and faced top contenders) strongly favor the red corner. This is a 5-round non-title fight, which benefits the more experienced fighter's pacing and cardio management. Tsarukyan's well-rounded grappling and striking should allow him to control rounds and take a decision, though Ruffy's finishing ability keeps this from being a certainty.
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