Bills Lead the Scoring Charts, and Dallas and Vegas Deserve More Credit Than Their Records

Before the rankings, a caveat: the only data we have is records and offensive ratings, so this is a read on what teams score, not a full verdict on who they are. Defense, injuries, and everything else outside this table stay out of it. Even so, the picture is clear enough.

Buffalo is the class of the offense at 33.3, and at 6-1 they're as dangerous on paper as anyone. Cincinnati's 30.0 is the second-best figure on the board, and the 6-2 Bengals look underrated. Jacksonville (28.6) and Detroit (27.8) round out a group whose offenses are real and whose records reflect it.

San Francisco sits at 7-1 with a 29.4 offense, the best combined package in the field so far. Chicago at 7-2 with a 26.8 offense is legitimate too.

Now the overrated crowd. Minnesota owns a 6-1 record but carries only a 20.0 offense, which puts them in the lower half of the table. Denver at 7-2 with a 21.5 offense is riding wins the scoring doesn't fully back up. Cleveland at 5-4 with a 17.4 offense is a team to be skeptical of, and Pittsburgh at 6-2 on a 22.5 is solid without being special.

Then the teams better than their records. Dallas (4-5, 27.4 offense) and Las Vegas (4-5, 27.6) are both scoring at a level that suggests their records undersell them, at least offensively. Houston (3-5, 26.1) fits the same profile. For bettors, that's the interesting part: these are teams the market may still be pricing off the record.

At the bottom, the Chargers are 0-8 with a 15.1 offense, the lowest in the league. Miami (1-7, 16.7) and Tennessee (1-7, 18.0) aren't far behind, and Philadelphia (2-7, 17.1) is sinking fast.