Clippers Edge Thunder 113-112, Cash Easy at +7.5

Clippers 113, Thunder 112. One point. That's all that separated these two, and the Clippers cashed the +7.5 with room to spare.

This is the part where we tell you we saw it coming, and we did, though not because we had a crystal ball. The pick rested on three things: a thin Thunder roster without Ajay Mitchell (18.5 PPG), a schedule that had Oklahoma City playing four games in seven days against a Clippers team with three days of rest, and a road split that has the Thunder at 3-4 away from home with a -3.9 margin, compared to the Clippers' +3.4 at home. Full-season margins pointed to a Thunder edge of around seven, which made 7.5 a number worth grabbing on the home side.

Did we nail the margin? Not exactly. The Clippers only needed to avoid losing by eight or more, and a win outright is the cleanest version of that cover.

Be honest about the size of this one. It was a small play at -120 juice, the edge was thin, and a one-point finish is a reminder of how little separates these teams on a given night. Still, the number held and the reasoning held, so the Stable gets a win in the column.