FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami Split Points in Frustrating 2-2 Stalemate

Well, that was anticlimactic. FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami played to a 2-2 draw that left everyone feeling unsatisfied—especially anyone who followed DarkHorse's over 4.0 pick into a push. The math was sound: combined xG projections north of 5.9 goals, Miami averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last ten, and a May meeting that delivered eight goals. Instead, we got exactly four and a collective shrug.

Both sides found the net twice in what should've been a shootout given the underlying numbers. Cincinnati's defense, leaking 1.8 expected goals per match, held up just enough. Miami's attack, projected to torch the visitors for two-plus goals on their own, couldn't find that decisive third strike. The result? A push that feels more like a loss when you consider how aggressively the data pointed over.

Credit where it's due—both keepers made key saves, and perhaps the humid South Florida night took some zip off legs late. But when you're staring at xG models screaming "six goals," getting four is a letdown. Cincinnati escapes with a road point, Miami drops two at home, and we're left wondering how a match with this much offensive firepower stayed under the number. Frustrating, but that's MLS parity for you.