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Game Recap

Guardians Survive Late Scare, Cash -140 Ticket in Anaheim

MLB

The Guardians extended their win streak to six games with an 8-6 victory over the Angels, and DarkHorse backers who laid -140 can exhale after a nervier finish than anyone wanted. Cleveland's offense did the heavy lifting early, staking their squad to a comfortable lead that made Gavin Williams' workmanlike outing good enough. Williams didn't dominate like his 11.70 K/9 suggested he might, but he avoided disaster while the bats pounded Walbert Ureña and the Angels' bullpen.

The Guardians pushed across runs in bunches, building enough cushion to withstand a late Angeles rally that made the final score closer than the game actually felt. That 4-0 season series dominance wasn't a fluke—Cleveland simply has Anaheim's number right now, and the +2.5 run differential per game in this matchup proved prophetic even as the Angels scraped together six runs in garbage time.

This one hit because the fundamental thesis was sound: better rotation depth, superior bullpen ERA, and a team playing with house money on a hot streak. The -140 price implied 58.3% win probability, but Cleveland's been closer to 70% against these Angels all year. Sometimes you just back the better team and let variance sort itself out. Six straight wins, five straight covers in the series. Ride the hot hand until it goes cold.

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