Game Recap
Ravens Get Trampled in Buffalo as Bills Cruise to Blowout Win
Well, that was ugly. The Bills dismantled Baltimore 36-10 in a game that was never remotely competitive, and our Ravens +3 pick got buried in the Orchard Park snow. So much for those dual-threat nightmares.
Buffalo's defense, which we flagged as vulnerable at 25.33 PPG allowed at home, absolutely suffocated Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Ten points. That's what Baltimore's vaunted offense managed against a Bills unit that decided tonight was the night to remember how to play football. The 14-day bye didn't just provide a 3% cover edge—it gave Buffalo time to scheme up a defensive masterpiece that made Jackson look ordinary and Henry invisible.
Josh Allen and company, meanwhile, hung 36 on a Ravens defense that supposedly allowed just 22.5 per game in away splits. Those numbers looked great on paper until Buffalo's offense treated them like a suggestion rather than a ceiling. The sharp money we cited moving the line toward Baltimore? Turns out the sharps got this one spectacularly wrong, or Buffalo's rest advantage was worth way more than three percent.
The market priced in home-field advantage at three points. Turns out it should've been twenty-six. Ravens got dominated in every phase, and we took the loss with them.