Revolution Storm Back to Sink Orlando and Our +0.5 Pick in Foxborough Shootout

New England put four past Orlando in a wild 4-2 home victory that left our +0.5 pick bleeding out on the Gillette Stadium turf. So much for momentum and attacking edges—the Revolution turned Orlando's three-game win streak into confetti.

The Lions actually showed up to play, notching two goals and proving their recent offensive form wasn't a mirage. But here's the thing about road games in MLS: home cooking matters, and New England's attack—supposedly the inferior unit at 1.8 goals per game over their last five—suddenly remembered how to finish. Four goals will do that. Orlando's shaky defensive xG profile (2.026 xGA per game) wasn't just a number on a spreadsheet; it was a flashing warning sign we should've heeded harder.

Our thesis banked on Orlando's form holding serve and that +0.5 cushion catching either a draw or outright win. Instead, the Revolution's home advantage proved decisive, and that two-goal margin left us holding the bag. Credit where due: New England executed when it mattered. Orlando competed but couldn't stem the tide when the Revs found their groove. Sometimes the road team's hot streak meets a buzzsaw, and this was one of those nights. Tough miss, but that's the game.