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Game Recap

San Jose Shocks San Diego 3-2 in Wild Five-Goal Affair That Torches the Under

MLS

Well, that escalated quickly. San Jose rolled into San Diego on short rest and missing half their attack, and somehow conjured a 3-2 road victory that obliterated our under 3.5 call before the final whistle even blew. Five goals. Five. So much for defensive solidity and regression to the mean.

The Earthquakes, averaging a pathetic 0.6 goals per game over their last five, suddenly remembered how to finish despite missing Werner, Johnson, Marie, and Jones. Meanwhile, San Diego's overperforming attack kept cooking at home, but their supposedly stout 1.5 goals-against home mark went up in smoke. Both sides decided tonight was the night to flip the script on every trend we leaned into.

The under looked pristine on paper: identical season averages, injury chaos for the visitors, short rest, a 3-0 snoozefest in their last meeting. Instead we got a track meet that cleared the total with room to spare. San Jose's xG underperformance? Apparently cured in one night. San Diego's unsustainable finishing? Still unsustainable, just not tonight.

Credit where it's due: San Jose found goals from nowhere and grabbed three points they desperately needed. But for our under backers? Brutal. Sometimes the numbers lie, and sometimes depleted road teams just decide to score anyway. That's MLS, baby.

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