Toronto FC Squeaks Past D.C. United in Anemic 2-1 Slog

Toronto FC limped to a 2-1 home victory over D.C. United on Saturday, delivering exactly the kind of offensively challenged affair we predicted—just with one goal too many to cash our under 3.0. The pick pushed, landing right on the number in a match that felt more like a preseason scrimmage than meaningful MLS action.

Both sides looked every bit as toothless as their injury reports suggested. D.C. United, missing forwards Louis Munteanu and Gabriel Segal, managed just one goal despite Toronto's porous backline operating without Walker Zimmerman. The visitors' recent form—a pathetic 0.8 goals per game over their last five—held true as they sputtered through 90 minutes of uninspired possession.

Toronto wasn't much better. Even with Nelson Palacio sidelined, they scraped together two goals, though it felt like pulling teeth. Their recent 1.8 goals-per-game average flattered them in this one; both tallies came more from D.C.'s defensive charity than any creative brilliance.

The push stings because we nailed the narrative—two depleted squads grinding through a low-event match. But three total goals is three total goals, and the betting gods showed no mercy. Sometimes you read the game perfectly and still walk away empty-handed. That's the cruel beauty of landing exactly on the number.